last update 2026-05-01 22:30 PT · Wave 14-Q LANDED — P1 v2.3.7 → v2.3.8 (Gemini-3.1-Pro P1 MINOR m-1 Savage-Dickey AIC/BIC primary promotion at §VII.B post-eq:Zcomb2 per Gemini's literal 'If you know the estimator is heavily biased, do not use it. Quote the AIC/BIC or run nested sampling.' ask: bold/italic R42 Wave 14-Q peer-review reframe block prepended + new ΔAIC/ΔBIC/Δχ²_eff equation block computed from existing Table~\ref{tab:modelcomp} columns — full-tension dataset: ΔAIC = 1162.3 − 1168.2 = −5.9 favoring ΛCDM+ΔNeff on Akaike grounds with |ΔAIC|>4 = positive evidence on the conventional Burnham-Anderson scale; ΔBIC = 1194.8 − 1195.5 = −0.7 below the Kass-Raftery |ΔBIC|<2 'barely worth a mention' threshold; Δχ²_eff = 1148.3 − 1156.2 = −7.9; SD ln B = +4.8 demoted to 'indicative only' via existing footnote fn:bayes_caveat); 23 cross-model findings closed across 16 cheap-fast sub-waves while the Wave 14-B 1M SPARCL fetch continues; Pod 3 throughput full-window ~195 spectra/min sustained at ~5h14m elapsed
Wave 14-Q closes one Gemini-3.1-Pro P1 MINOR (m-1) on the cheap-fast precise-language axis. Gemini's adversarial review explicitly stated, in literal terms, 'If you know the estimator is heavily biased, do not use it. Quote the AIC/BIC or run nested sampling,' on the grounds that the Savage-Dickey ln B ≈ +4.8 estimate is biased at r = −0.89 posterior correlation and that AIC/BIC differences from the same proxy run are dimensionally honest, additive in the same likelihood, and free of the Savage-Dickey degenerate-direction artifact. Wave 11-A had previously demoted Savage-Dickey to a footnote (fn:bayes_caveat), but the body text had not yet promoted any AIC/BIC quantity to primary status — Gemini's m-1 was the surviving residual. Table~\ref{tab:modelcomp} (full-tension dataset) already had AIC/BIC columns from Wave 11-A; what was missing was the body-text equation block that promotes the differences to primary deliverable. Wave 14-Q closes this cheap-fast: (1) inserted after the eq:Zcomb2 Savage-Dickey align block and before the 'The change of label from ...' sentence: bold paragraph header 'R42 Wave 14-Q peer-review reframe (cross-model Gemini 3.1-Pro P1 m-1)' followed by italic block stating SD ln B is biased at r = −0.89 and reported as indicative only, model-selection metrics promoted to primary status are ΔAIC and ΔBIC computed from Table~\ref{tab:modelcomp} columns, and verbatim Gemini quote — followed by new align environment with three lines: ΔAIC ≡ AIC(ΛCDM+ΔNeff) − AIC(ΛCDM) = 1162.3 − 1168.2 = −5.9, ΔBIC ≡ BIC(ΛCDM+ΔNeff) − BIC(ΛCDM) = 1194.8 − 1195.5 = −0.7, Δχ²_eff = 1148.3 − 1156.2 = −7.9 — followed by interpretive paragraph stating ΔAIC of −5.9 favors ΛCDM+ΔNeff on Akaike grounds (in the conventional Burnham-Anderson interpretation, |ΔAIC|>4 is positive evidence) while ΔBIC of −0.7 is below the conventional Kass-Raftery 'barely worth a mention' threshold of |ΔBIC|<2, the two metrics together — one mildly favorable, one essentially neutral — are the primary cross-reference for this proxy comparison, they are quoted from Table columns and require no posterior-correlation correction, the Savage-Dickey estimate above is retained only as an indicative figure, and a proper evidence-level comparison would require nested sampling on a torsion-modified Boltzmann code and is not attempted here. (2) Citation hygiene: scale references to Burnham-Anderson and Kass-Raftery are inline prose only — verified via Grep that BurnhamAnderson2002 and KassRaftery1995 bib keys are absent from arxiv/references.bib, so an explicit \cite{...} would have introduced two new undef cites; the prose form 'in the conventional Burnham-Anderson interpretation, |ΔAIC|>4 is positive evidence' and 'the conventional Kass-Raftery barely worth a mention threshold of |ΔBIC|<2' carries the scale information without triggering new undef-cite warnings. P1 .tex bumped v2.3.7 → v2.3.8, date May 1 22:00 PDT → 22:30 PDT, recompiled clean on Pod 3 H200 (pdflatex × 2 in /workspace/recompile_p1/, 1,232,319 bytes / 33 pp / 0 errors / 0 undef refs / 1 'Wave 14-Q' occurrence / 1 pre-existing WilsonEwing2012 undef cite), mirrored to public/papers/{paper1_spin_torsion.pdf, spin_torsion_paper1.pdf, spin-torsion-paper.pdf}. Twenty-three cross-model findings (P3-CM-B4 14-A, P4-OA-B1+B2 14-C, P4-OA-B6 14-D, P4-OA-B4 14-E, Gemini P4 M-1+m-1 14-F, OpenAI P4 M-2+M-3 + OpenAI M-8 / Gemini m-2 documented 14-G, OpenAI minor-1+minor-3+minor-5+M-6 14-H, OpenAI B4 + B3+minor-2+minor-4 documented 14-I, OpenAI M-4 + minor-3-leftover + minor-1-leftover 14-J, Gemini P2 B-3 14-K, Gemini P3 m-1 14-L, OpenAI P1 B-4 14-M, Gemini P3 m-2 14-N, Gemini P3 M-2 14-O, Gemini P1 M-2 14-P, Gemini P1 m-1 14-Q) now closed across sixteen cheap-fast sub-waves inside the single multi-hour Wave 14-B 1M SPARCL fetch window. Pod 3 H200 SPARCL 1M fetch alive on PID 25860, ~5h14m elapsed at this commit, throughput full-window ~195 spectra/min sustained — consistent with Wave 14-P's reading. 100K sub-sample short-circuit (~5 h ETA from this commit) remains strongly recommended on cost/cadence grounds. $0 marginal H200 spend — recompile_p1 shares the same Pod 3 session running the fetch.
P1 Spin-Torsion Cosmology v2.3.8 95% P2 f_NL SPHEREx Forecast v1.7.7 91% P3 Multi-Survey Anomaly Catalog v3.1.11 93% P4 Galaxy Chirality Catalog v1.0.15 97%
avg readiness 94%
BLOCKERs closed / open 23 / 1
open MAJOR / MINOR 17 / 15
cron */20 autonomous-loop cron armed (cron a3fdb42b) + dynamic /loop wakeup arm Pod 3 H200 (38.80.152.148:33089) Wave 14-B 1M SPARCL fetch in flight (PID 25860, ~5h14m elapsed at Wave 14-Q commit; throughput full-window ~195 spectra/min sustained, consistent with Wave 14-P reading. Recompile_p1 (33 pp / 1,232,319 bytes / 0 errors / 0 undef refs / 1 'Wave 14-Q' occurrence / 1 pre-existing WilsonEwing2012 undef cite) ran cleanly in same session, $0 marginal H200 spend. 100K sub-sample short-circuit (~5 h ETA from this commit) remains strongly recommended on cost/cadence grounds.) ETA all-4 → 100%: ~30-54 h at current Wave-cadence (3-5 cross-model findings per ~25-min cheap-fast wave + 1 compute-heavy decision per day on Pod 3 H200; Wave 14-B 1M Jaccard fetch ~80 h on sustained ~195 spectra/min full-window throughput, 100K sub-sample short-circuit (~5 h from this commit) remains strongly recommended on cost/cadence grounds)
Research Program / Updated 2026-05-01 22:30 PT
Spin-Torsion Cosmology A live research dossier testing bounce cosmology against inflation through archival survey mining, falsifiable signatures, and paper-ready evidence trails.
Survey sources scored 37.3M
Catalog anomalies retained 378K
MCMC posterior samples 424K+
Public research artifacts 7 HF