Research Program / Updated May 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM PT
Spin-Torsion Cosmology
A live research dossier testing bounce cosmology against inflation through archival survey mining, falsifiable signatures, and paper-ready evidence trails.
observational ledger
R43 Wave 14-RRR — P1A/P1B/P2/P3/P4 all 99%
Survey sources scored37.3M
Catalog anomalies retained378K
MCMC posterior samples424K+
Public research artifacts7 HF
5
Papers
8
Surveys
37.3M+
Sources Scored
319K+
Anomalies
424K+
MCMC Samples
4/8
QC Pass
4
Predictions
50
Queued
Testable Predictions →
Survey Results →
| Survey | Sources | Anomalies | QC |
|---|---|---|---|
| DESI DR1 | 22.5M spectra | 195,829 (0.87%) | PASS |
| SDSS DR18 | 2.3M spectra | 77,905 (3.4%) | CAUTION |
| LAMOST DR10 | 11.4M spectra | 44,075 (0.39%) | CAUTION |
| eROSITA DR1 | 930K X-ray sources | 298 (0.03%) | PASS |
| Planck CMB | 20K patches | 200 (1%) | PASS |
| ACT DR6 | 20K patches | 0 (—) | FAIL |
| NEOWISE | 43.5K sources | 419 (0.96%) | PASS |
| Gaia DR3 | 50K variables | 500 (1%) | CAUTION |
Research Papers →
85% — R46 forward closure (Wave 14-AAAAA, R46 minors+nits sweep): +1pp from 84 after closing P1A R46 m3 (Table II w0wa column asymmetry fix: matter bounce ✗ / Cuscuton ✗ / Ekpyrotic ✗ / slow-roll ✗ all converted to 'not tested‡' with new ‡ footnote pointing at Paper 1B §VII.H zero free-w0-wa-sample disclosure; quintom-B 'consistent†' retained — asymmetry now framed as theoretical-accommodation vs not-computationally-tested rather than ✗ vs ✓), n1 (abstract '14 distinct' → '14 mechanism-class constraints (one of which, B8, is a special case of B14: the parity-even-interaction barrier is the observational consequence of the perturbation-transparency theorem, retained in the catalog for historical mechanism-class completeness)'), m1 self-resolved by v1A.0.12 date stamp 2026-05-09. R46 m2 (8 OOM / 17.5 OOM) confirmed n/a — no '8 OOM' anchor in body; existing α/M arithmetic at L580-582 computes M_Pl·(α/M) ~ 10^-2 (2 OOM gap) which is the actual quoted figure. R46 n2 (35 OOM m_θ qualifier) confirmed n/a — m_θ ~ H_0 regime already explicit at L657-678. Wave 14-BBBBB (R47 launch — second convergence test) queued. Per Wave 14-WWWW: R46 BLOCKER B1 (Route 2 §IV.B Δθ_one-loop/Δθ_obs ~ 10^-58 dimensionless ratio) + 3 MAJORs M1 (R4 CC-tuning closure), M2 ('would plausibly be erased' propagation), M3 (D_inf §XII downgrade) all closed. Per Wave 14-QQQQ: both R45 BLOCKERs B1+B2 + 4 MAJORs M1-M4 closed.
Paper 1Av1A.0.12
Structural Closure of Einstein–Cartan–Holst Dark Energy: Perturbation Transparency, Inflation–fNL Tension, and Surviving Matter-Bounce Tests
85%
75% — compute-gated on DESI DR2 w0wa cobaya chain (R̂−1 = 0.076 at 18:27 PT 5/8, target < 0.01, ETA 1–3 days). §Structural Tension MCMC numbers are placeholder until convergence. Excluded from R44 self-review for the same reason; R45 + cross-vendor + Houston sign-off all still ahead.
Paper 1Bv1B.0.2
Technical Verification Companion: ΛCDM+ΔN_eff MCMC Proxy, NaMaster Pipeline Recovery, and Spectator-ALP Consistency Check for the ECH Spin-Torsion Program
75%
83% — R46 forward closure (Wave 14-AAAAA, R46 minors+nits sweep): +1pp from 82 after closing P2 R46 m1 ('exactly half the full polynomial' softened in abstract to 'approximately half ... per-config ratios 0.500 ± 0.001 at equilateral, folded, and squeezed; reported individually in §sec:assumptions and Table~tab:benchmarks'), m2 (600,000 MC count rhetorical-decoration converted to '6×10⁵ realizations' with explicit one-line clarification that this is the convergence-stability sample size, not a tightening of the Heinrich+2023 σ(f_NL)=0.7 forecast), m3 (Table 'Corrected (10% residual)' relabeled '...sanity row' with caption footnote leading 'by construction equal to Ideal at this template-overlap order; included as a no-op sanity row, not as an independent configuration'), n1 (release tag pinning v1.7.18-paper2 → v1.7.19-paper2 across both URL and release-tag display via replace_all), n2 (Maldacena 0.015 §I gauge-frame caveat closed: '(gauge-frame value; conformal-Fermi-frame equivalent differs by O(slow-roll) corrections per Pajer:2013 + TanakaUrakawa:2011 and is not the bounce-discriminating quantity here)' — abstract + §VII already had the caveat). R46 m4 (Cai polynomial '3 valid solutions' attribution) confirmed n/a — paper frames the underdetermined coefficient system as a 3D null space not as 3 polynomial roots; existing footnote at L70 already cites Cai:2009fn and adopts the -35/8 root canonically. Wave 14-BBBBB (R47 launch) queued. Per Wave 14-XXXX-r46: R46 BLOCKER B1 + 4 MAJORs M1-M4 all closed.
Paper 2v1.7.19
fNL = -35/8 Forecast: SPHEREx Discrimination of Bounce vs. Inflation
83%
89% — R46 forward closure (Wave 14-AAAAA, R46 minors+nits sweep): +1pp from 88 after closing P3 R46 m1 (9.6× α-ratio not b-ratio relabel in abstract: 'central value is 9.6× higher as an α-ratio (NOT a b-ratio: α_GS,jk/α_full,jk = +1.83/0.19 = 9.63, while underlying bias-ratio shift is the more modest b_GS/b_full,jk ≈ 2.83 ± 2.03)'), m4 (9.6× central-value shift physical-plausibility narrative added: two sentences tying shift to Gold+Silver P>0.9 confidence cuts preserving bounce f_NL=-35/8 shape signal that low-confidence tracers dilute, and connecting direction to independent Pipeline-1 1.58× clustering-bias enhancement), m2 (319,443 dropped from title — title now '378,280 Path-C Unique Anomalies and Native-Trained Novelty Rates...'; 319,443 retained in abstract/body for before/after baseline narrative), m3 (γ rounding harmonized: '3.20 ± 0.42' canonical with raw-fit '3.193 ± 0.423' parenthetical at first mention §6 + §App.cross-checks; subsequent mentions use rounded 3.20), n1 (sec:limitations added 'prior-fiducial' qualifier to fiducial bias enhancement α=0.15), n3 (orphan ◊ footnote in tab:survey_summary removed — symbol existed in caption block but no marker existed in table body; redundant with caption + ‖ footnote). R46 n2 (4.6σ vs 4.61σ harmonization) confirmed n/a — all 4 occurrences L557/614/633/949 already read +4.61σ. Wave 14-BBBBB (R47 launch) queued.
Paper 3v3.1.30
Spectrally Unusual Sources at Scale: A Multi-Survey Catalog of 378,280 Anomalies and Native-Trained Novelty Rates from 37.3 Million Sources
89%
86% — R46 forward closure (Wave 14-AAAAA, R46 minors+nits sweep): +1pp from 85 after closing all 5 P4 R46 minors+nits — m2 (bootstrap 28.80σ 'external peer-review-required uncertainty' framing softened at L990: replaced with 'self-consistency check on the raw-catalog asymmetry baseline (the 28.80σ figure is the bootstrap-stability metric of the chirality-fraction estimator, not an external-validation σ; an independent non-Anthropic cross-vendor R-round is required for that)'), m3 (§VII.B confidence stratification: HC-spiral N=471,049 spiral-only P>0.9 vs HC-broad N=949,584 max-prob>0.6 disambiguated with explicit N counts + cluster-distinguishing paragraph), n1 ('structurally parity-asymmetric' hangover at L397-398 replaced with neutral 'exhibits a residual CW/CCW asymmetry at the sub-percent level'), n2 (Footnote 4 condensed from 14 lines to 5: retained core caveat — canonical computation method + supersession of pre-v1.0.6 3,321,795 figure; ~9 lines saved). R46 m1 (3.32M vs 3.20M canonical N denominator) confirmed verified — body uses 3.20M everywhere; sole remaining 3.32M reference at L1924 is the explicit canonical-N qualifier in the diagnostic-baseline context which is correct. Wave 14-BBBBB (R47 launch) queued. Per Wave 14-ZZZZ: all 4 P4 R46 MAJORs M1-M4 closed. Per Wave 14-TTTT: R45 BLOCKER B1 (honest GZ1 Platt downgrade) + 5 of 6 R45 MAJORs closed (M4 N_eff histogram pod-compute-gated, carried).
Paper 4v1.0.38
Galaxy Chirality at Scale: 8.47M Galaxies Classified, Hemisphere Null at p_LEE < 10⁻⁴
86%
Current Focus
R43 Wave 14-RRR — Paper 1 split into P1A + P1B; cobaya DESI DR2 w0wa chain in burn-in
Wave 14-PPPP launched the R45 multi-agent adversarial peer review on post-OOOO versions of P1A v1A.0.8 / P2 v1.7.15 / P3 v3.1.26 / P4 v1.0.35 (P1B excluded — compute-gated on cobaya R̂−1 < 0.01). 4 parallel Claude general-purpose subagents fetched the latest .tex from GitHub raw and returned 50 findings (6 BLOCKER + 21 MAJOR + 17 MINOR + 6 NIT) — saved at project-context/peer-reviews/2026-05-09_0030pt_R45_CCAI_*.md. The R45 net delta vs R44 (50 findings) is +1 BLOCKER, −2 MAJOR — the loop has NOT yet converged. Several R45 BLOCKERs are issues that the R44-closure waves themselves introduced: (P1A-R45-B1) the new four-route no-go appendix §IV.D Route 4 amplitude bound says ≥8 orders of magnitude but the underlying ρ_θ ≲ 10^{-46} eV^4 vs ρ_Λ ~ 10^{-11} eV^4 ratio is 10^35 (35 orders); (P1A-R45-B2) the new §IV.B Route 2 closure compares a rotation rate β̇ in eV with an angle uncertainty σ(β) in eV — dimensionally inconsistent; (P4-R45-B1) the GZ1 Platt L-BFGS recalibration parameters cited in §IV (A=0.215143, B=−1.581205) are NOT in the on-disk artifact wave_14_fff_gz1_platt_recal.json (which shows placeholder values A=0.21505, B=−1.58, accuracy 0.5194 chance, Brier=NaN). Two R45 BLOCKERs are pre-existing: (P2-R45-B1) abstract \ref{sec:gr} undefined produces ?? in PDF; (P2-R45-B2) §VII 9.9σ vs 3-5σ headline still semantically conflated; (P3-R45-B1) tier arithmetic 264,938+113,342=378,280 ≠ 378,080 across 23 surfaces. Honest readiness rolled back: P1A 90→78 (−12pp), P1B 75 unchanged (compute-gated), P2 85→73 (−12pp), P3 89→80 (−9pp), P4 89→76 (−13pp). Average 85.6 → 76.4 (−9.2pp). The cycle Houston asked to see is now visible: 11 forward waves over the session added +3.2pp; one R45 round subtracts −9.2pp; the loop continues until per-round delta shrinks to zero. **Wave queue: 14-QQQQ closes P1A R45 BLOCKERs B1+B2 + MAJORs; 14-RRRR closes P2; 14-SSSS closes P3 (B1 tier-arithmetic restate + 5 MAJORs); 14-TTTT closes P4 (B1 re-run GZ1 L-BFGS + 6 MAJORs); 14-UUUU minors+nits sweep; 14-VVVV launches R46.** Cap stays at 95% until BOTH a clean CCAI R-round AND a clean cross-vendor non-Anthropic R-round have passed. Cobaya DESI DR2 chain continues: R̂−1 = 0.076 at May 8 18:27 PT.
Currently running
- Cobaya 4-chain MPI run on RTX A5000 pod ijzftpy3klystt — warm-started with posterior covmat from April-6 quintom chain; DESI DR2 + Planck NPIPE + Pantheon+ + DES-Y5; w0-wa CPL PPF; target R̂−1 < 0.01
- Autonomous /loop self-pacing every ~25 min — polling pod, will GetDist + update P1B §Structural Tension + recompile when R̂−1 < 0.01